A decade ago Fred Ikle, then Head of the Social Science Department at the Rand Corporation and later to serve as Director of the Arms Control and Disarmament Agency and Under Secretary of Defense for Policy, posed the question: "Can Nuclear Deterrence Last Out The Century?"
"Nuclear Deterrence to the End of the Century,"
Naval War College Review: Vol. 36
, Article 9.
Available at: http://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol36/iss6/9