For over a decade now experts on Soviet political affairs have been predicting that the leadership in the Kremlin was on the verge of a major generational turnover. Unlike so many other prognostications on the Soviet Union, this forecast has stood the test of time quite well.
Cobb, Tyrus W.
"The Future of the Soviet Defense Burden: The Political Economy of Contemporary Soviet Security Policy,"
Naval War College Review: Vol. 34
, Article 5.
Available at: http://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol34/iss4/5