The predictive power of experts, operations analysis, and the value of information are interwoven subjects that are hard to winnow down to an essence. Prediction is a big subject, so I have limited this article to what I know best: the operational and tactical domains of conventional warfare.
Hughes, Wayne P. Jr.
"Research & Debate: Prediction,"
Naval War College Review: Vol. 73
, Article 8.
Available at: https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/nwc-review/vol73/iss1/8